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Iran may respond to the killing of the Hamas leader by blaming Israel and launching a vendetta before attacking Israel itself. Hezbollah, for its part, is preparing to retaliate for the killing of its commander and is planning an attack in the coming days. However, it is unclear how their actions will be coordinated with Iran, which is still deciding on the scale of its response to the insult.
Iran may decide to conduct a witch hunt, going after Mossad agents or their allies it believes were involved in Haniyeh’s murder. International pressure has prevented tensions in the region from escalating, and Tehran is still weighing its options for responding to the incident.
The US has warned Iran of “serious” consequences for a possible attack on Israel, threatening any action. Iran's aggression could derail ceasefire talks in Gaza and hurt the country's economy.
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