Iran on the brink: US intelligence records the weakest position of the regime since the revolution

The end of 2025 became a moment for Iran when internal tension went beyond the usual limits. The mass protests that swept across the country affected not only large cities but also regions that for many years were considered an unconditional support of the government. This caused concern in government circles, and in Washington — close attention.

According to American intelligence data presented to Donald Trump, the Iranian leadership found itself in the most vulnerable position since the 1979 revolution. Even in provinces traditionally loyal to the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, protest sentiments made themselves known.

The economy remains a key source of irritation. Inflation, falling incomes, and the lack of tangible reforms have undermined trust in the government. The formal lull after street demonstrations did not relieve the tension: harsh repressions only reinforced the sense of deadlock and increased social frustration.

The American reaction to the events was not limited to diplomatic statements. The US military presence in the region was strengthened, and the area of responsibility of the US Central Command received additional resources. This is seen as a deterrent signal amid instability.

The Pentagon deployed air defense systems and strengthened the aviation component, including attack aircraft. Long-range aviation was put on high alert — without public announcements, but with a clear political message.

Trump himself publicly allowed for the possibility of a forceful scenario in case of escalation of repressions against protesters. At the same time, there is no unity within his team: some advisors insist on strong pressure, while others warn of the risks of direct confrontation and regional destabilization.

Intensive consultations with allies are ongoing in parallel. The commander of the Central Command, Admiral Brad Cooper, held a series of meetings with military and political leaders in Syria, Iraq, and Israel. Special attention is given to coordination with Saudi Arabia and Qatar, where both security issues and possible diplomatic formats are discussed.

In Washington, they emphasize: the situation around Iran is changing rapidly. Trump does not rule out a return to the negotiation track and allows for a “deal” if real grounds appear. But at the moment, the region remains in a state of fragile balance, where any sharp movement can change the balance of power.

This is how the complex political landscape of the Middle East is formed — between the internal crisis in Iran, US military signals, and cautious diplomatic maneuvers of allies. It is at this point that the interests of global players and regional powers intersect, and it is here today that the agenda is being formed, as written by NAnews — Israel News | Nikk.Agency.