Axios: The US peace plan for Ukraine will be based on NATO Article 5.

Tension is rising again in the American political environment: Axios reports that Washington is considering the idea of a long-term security agreement for Ukraine, built on the logic of NATO’s Article 5. This is not about formal membership, but about a mechanism that works almost the same — a collective response in case of an attack. For ten years ahead. Without ambiguities.

If Moscow violates the ceasefire line, it will be interpreted not as a local incident, but as a threat to the entire transatlantic system. That is, the responsibility ceases to be only Ukrainian — it becomes common.

What lies at the heart of the initiative

The Washington idea did not appear out of nowhere. The war has entered a prolonged phase, and the US is looking for a format that will allow not to wait for Ukraine’s official entry into NATO, but at the same time provide a working mechanism of collective defense.

In essence, the project proposes:

• a 10-year treaty
• automatic ally response to any Russian aggression
• a regime as close as possible to the logic of NATO’s Article 5
• political and military protection without prolonged bureaucracy

Why this is important for the region

Any such structure changes the calculations — both for Moscow and European capitals. Ten years of security provide time for the recovery of the economy, infrastructure, defense industry, and diplomatic network. This is a window that Ukraine has lacked since 2014.

Political scientists note: Washington is accelerating the discussion for a reason. Against the backdrop of global turbulence, from the Middle East to Asia, the stability of the Eastern European direction becomes a critical factor.

How experts are reacting

Security specialists talk about two key effects.

The first is real military insurance.
The second is a diplomatic signal: Ukraine is not left alone under any circumstances.

But there is a nuance: such a document will require coordinated approaches within the Western coalition. And this coordination in recent months has not always looked impeccable.

Assistance should be broader than military

Judging by the project description, it’s not just about missiles, air defense, and intelligence. The US is considering:

• expanding economic support
• funding social programs
• investing in the restoration of destroyed infrastructure
• involving market mechanisms for long-term stability

This is an important emphasis because winning the war is not only about weapons but also about the viability of the state.

What will happen next

The geopolitical map is changing rapidly, and any new agreement will require fine coordination among all participants — from the Pentagon to European capitals. The possibility of collective defense without formal NATO expansion looks like an intermediate model of the future security architecture.

But for it to work, countries must synchronize risks, responsibilities, and political will.
These negotiations depend not only on Ukrainian security but also on what European stability will look like in the next decade.

That is why Washington and Brussels are closely monitoring what compromises will be possible — and which are already impossible to accept. After all, all these decisions will become part of the larger processes that “NAnews — News of Israel | Nikk.Agency” regularly analyzes, tracking how the new global security architecture is being rebuilt around the war in Ukraine.