Warning from Ukrainian intelligence: Moscow is preparing a new phase of provocations during Christmas

The Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine has issued a public warning about the Kremlin’s preparation of a new phase of the so-called “comprehensive special operation.” According to Ukrainian analysts, Moscow intends to disrupt possible peace negotiations, which are being mediated by the United States, through a series of large-scale provocations, including scenarios with human casualties during the Christmas holidays.

This is not a one-time action, but a structured strategy that, according to intelligence assessments, has already been launched and is developing according to a pre-prepared scenario.

The key feature of the current stage, emphasized by the Foreign Intelligence Service, is its systemic nature. The first trigger was the incident with the so-called “attack on Putin’s residence.” The Ukrainian side promptly refuted the accusations, pointing to a falsified map of drone movements distributed by the Russian side.

American intelligence services, according to Kyiv, also did not confirm Ukraine’s involvement in this episode. Nevertheless, this case was used as a starting point for further informational and political pressure.

After this, as noted by intelligence, the active formation of new falsified pretexts began. Their goal is to prepare both the domestic audience in Russia and the international community for a possible escalation of hostilities and a tightening of rhetoric.

Analysts pay special attention to a possible change in the Kremlin’s tactics. If previously the main focus was on manipulations, informational injections, and threat imitations, a transition to direct armed provocations is possible in the near future.

According to forecasts by the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine, this may involve the preparation of terrorist attacks with large-scale human casualties, which will then be used as a tool of pressure and justification for further actions by Moscow.

The most likely time window for such scenarios, according to intelligence, is the period of Christmas celebrations according to the Julian calendar — January 7. This choice is explained by both the symbolic significance of the date and the increased vulnerability of public spaces.

Special attention, according to analysts, may be given to objects with religious and historical significance — churches and other landmark places, both in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine and within Russia itself.

Among the technical details disclosed by intelligence are plans to use debris from Western-made strike drones. According to available information, such fragments are collected by Russian military in the combat zone and may subsequently be delivered to the sites of staged terrorist attacks.

The goal of such actions is to discredit Ukraine and its Western partners, as well as to form a “evidence base” for propaganda statements and accusations.

In conclusion, the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine appealed to international and regional media with a call for maximum caution. Journalists were reminded of the need to critically assess statements from the Russian side, carefully verify information sources, and avoid involvement in the dissemination of disinformation.

In conditions where informational operations become an integral part of real threats, the responsibility of the media for accuracy and context becomes particularly significant. Against this backdrop, NAnews — News of Israel | Nikk.Agency continues to pay attention to issues of security, disinformation, and the international consequences of ongoing events.