- November 21, 2024
- 12:37 am
- World News
Former Prime Minister of Israel Ehud Barak in his interview for POLITICO expressed the opinion that Donald Trump's return to the White House could be the catalyst for a new “diplomatic strategy” integrating negotiations on Ukraine and Iran. This will not only change the balance of power in the Middle East, but will also pose a serious challenge to international politics as a whole.
Why is Iran a key element?
Iran, which is on the verge of acquiring nuclear weapons, has become a major player in regional and global politics. Ehud Barak noted that Trump has already taken a tough stance against Tehran in his first term in office:
- Withdrawal from the Iran Nuclear Agreement (JCPOA): Trump not only withdrew from the agreement, but also imposed tough sanctions against Iran.
- Threats of force: During his presidency, Trump has shown that he is willing to use tough methods to curb Iranian activity.
Ehud Barak: “Iran is one step away from nuclear status, and US actions towards Tehran could change the entire geopolitical situation.”
Connection with Ukraine: what will Trump offer?
One of Barack's key ideas is that Trump could try to tie the Ukraine and Iran talks into one initiative involving Putin.
- Ukrainian crisis:
- Russia and Ukraine remain in active conflict, undermining security in Europe.
- Barack suggests that Trump could offer Putin a “compromise” in which the Russian side would contribute to stabilization in the Middle East in exchange for certain concessions on Ukraine.
- Iranian problem:
- Russia's intervention as a mediator could convince Iran to reduce its activity in the region and abandon its aggressive policies against Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Israel.
- It is possible to conclude a new international nuclear agreement, supported by the support of global players.
This grand deal could include interconnected talks with Moscow on Ukraine, during which Trump would call on Russian President Putin to help “convince Tehran to stop its proxy activities against Saudi Arabia, the Emirates and Israel and find some kind of ‘formula for coexistence’.”
Potential risks for Israel
Barak also noted that such a strategy could pose a serious challenge for Israel. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has repeatedly stated his readiness to take tough measures, including strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, to protect national interests.
Ehud Barak: “Netanyahu may consider a military scenario if diplomatic efforts fail.”
However, the US position under the leadership of Trump may change towards isolationism, which will reduce support for Israel in its actions against Iran.
“It is possible that, despite the apparent aggressiveness towards Iran, the general isolationist mood of this new administration will force it to consider a much broader deal,” he said Barack.
Prospects for a new diplomacy: who will win?
| Topics of negotiations | Possible consequences |
|---|---|
| Ukraine | Easing the conflict, negotiating a cessation of hostilities. |
| Iran | Reducing regional tensions, a new international nuclear agreement. |
| Russia's role | Strengthening Putin's position as a global player, participation in peace initiatives. |
| Israel's interests | Possible weakening of US support, the need for independent action against the Iranian threat. |
The role of “NAnews” in the analysis
Website “NAnews – Israel News” continues to follow the international agenda, paying special attention to events related to Israel, Ukraine and the Middle East. Ehud Barak's proposed strategy highlights the complexity of the geopolitical situation and the need for coordinated action among key countries.
This initiative, if implemented, could be a game-changer on the international stage, creating new risks and opportunities for all parties involved.
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