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International relations are becoming increasingly tense, and this raises many questions about possible scenarios for the development of the conflict. As an international expert notes Taras Zhovtenko,

“Previously, the West needed to ‘knock the dust off’ only from Russia, but now – from the Russian Federation, Iran, and the DPRK.”

This situation highlights the fact that The failure of the West to stop Russian aggression has led to the creation of an alliance of dictatorships that now threaten global order and world stability.

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Escalation of conflicts: from Ukraine to Israel

At the initial stage of the war, Ukraine called on the world to stop Russian aggression, warning of the possible outbreak of a global war. However, the actions of the Kremlin and its allies such as Iran and North Korea only increase this threat. The world has now witnessed new conflicts, including escalating violence in Israel and the Korean Peninsula. According to Zhovtenko, “we are several steps closer to this.”

Russia cannot be seen as an isolated threat; it actively cooperates with other dictatorships that support its aggressive policies.

Western countries must realize that the lack of a tough response to Moscow’s aggression became an “invitation to escalation” for other dictatorships.

  • Table 1: Major conflicts in the world and the role of Russia
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RegionCurrent conflictCauses of the conflictRussia's role
EuropeUkraineAggression of Russia against UkraineDirect military intervention
Middle EastIsraelEscalating violence between Israel and HamasSupport for Hamas and other extremist groups
AsiaDPRKNuclear program and military activity of the DPRKSupporting the Kim Jong-un regime through arms supplies
Latin AmericaVenezuela and GuyanaPolitical ambitions and influence of RussiaSupport for Maduro and attempts to destabilize the region

Geopolitical dominoes

Previously, the West only needed to deal with Russia, and this could contain Pyongyang and Tehran. However, there are many other regions on the agenda now. “Moreover, the situation may destabilize in Latin America,” Zhovtenko notes. Russia uses its ties to dictatorial regimes to advance its interests by undermining the security of other countries.

For example, Venezuela and Guyana are becoming battlegrounds for influence between the United States and Russia. As aid to Ukraine stalled, Maduro took advantage of the situation to play out the scenario of a possible Venezuelan attack on Guyana in an attempt to influence the US election. “This is a direct threat to the southern border of the United States,” says the expert.

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The West is at a crossroads: what to do?

The West can still stop the escalation, but the price for this decision will now be much higher. As Zhovtenko notes,

“It is still possible to stop this. But if at first it was necessary to simply stop Russia, now this requires interaction with Iran and the DPRK.”.

Each new regional clash involving dictatorships only increases the risks for the international order.

“Each time the quantity increases, so it is more and more difficult to stop the process,” he adds.

It is important to realize that the West not only must confront Russia, but also take action against its allies, who play a key role in destabilizing world politics.

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Axis of Evil Dictatorships: A Threat to World Order

Existing dictatorships such as Iran and North Korea are becoming increasingly confident in their position, seeing that the West cannot effectively stop Russian aggression. These regimes are capable of uniting against a common enemy – the West, which could lead to significant changes in world politics.

“If the West does not take decisive action, it may face large-scale destabilization that will lead to global war,” Zhovtenko warns.

Conclusion

At the moment, the West has the opportunity to influence the situation, but it is important to remember the readiness and ability to act not only in Europe and the Middle East, but also in other regions. This requires not only political will, but also unity among allies to counter the growing threat from the axis of evil. Otherwise, the world may face consequences that will become not just local conflicts, but the beginning of a new global war.

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Как Западу противостоять нарастающим угрозам от "оси зла": уроки из конфликтов в Украине и Израиле

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