Forbes August 7, 2024 writes that The supply of Russian military equipment to Iran in the current conditions could pose a significant risk for Moscow.
Russia has begun transferring radars and air defense systems to Iran, raising serious concerns given the growing tensions between Tehran and Israel. The author, Paul Iddon, a Middle East expert, points out that This move by Moscow could result in the exposure of vulnerabilities in modern Russian systems, especially given that Israel has already demonstrated its ability to effectively defeat Russian air defense systems.located in Iran.
Iran, which has long been interested in acquiring the S-400 Triumph long-range strategic air defense missile system, already has other modern Russian systems, such as the S-300PMU-2, Buk, and Tor short- and medium-range air defense systems. Forbes notes that these weapons are important for Iran’s defense capability, but their transfer could create additional risks for Russia.
The author emphasizes that any supply of advanced Russian military equipment to Iran could now be very risky, especially in light of Iran's threats to attack Israel. These threats followed the assassination of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on July 31. If the Iranian threat is realized, Israel will most likely respond with a powerful strike that could be aimed at destroying Iranian military facilities, including Russian-made air defense systems.
Thus, Forbes warns that despite the possible economic and strategic benefits of supplying weapons to Iran, Russia could face serious consequences if these systems are used in a potential conflict with Israel.
Forbes notes that the risk to Russia of arms sales to Iran is becoming increasingly real. The author of the article points to a recent incident in which Iran launched an unprecedented drone and missile attack against Israel in April, to which Israel responded by destroying an Iranian radar of the Russian S-300PMU-2 system in the central region of Isfahan, near the main enrichment plant in Natanga.
Forbes warns that supplying Iran with advanced weapons during its conflict with Israel could backfire on Russia, especially if there is a significant escalation. The article's author, Paul Iddon, points out that President Putin is likely keen to avoid such a scenario, as it could make it difficult for the Russian military to obtain Iranian drones and other equipment needed. Iddon also adds that Putin has urged Tehran to avoid attacks on Israeli civilians, realizing that this could lead to an escalation of the conflict or even a full-scale war.
In the end, Forbes emphasizes that Russia is once again risking its arms reputation, which has already been damaged by the war in Ukraine..
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