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“There is one state in the world, the security and territorial integrity of which was guaranteed by Russia, this state is called Ukraine. To appreciate the brilliance of Prime Minister Netanyahu’s plans, Israelis should read about the Budapest Memorandum.”

In recent days, reports have appeared in the central Israeli media that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is actively discussing the possibility of involving Russia as a “guarantor of ending the conflict on the Lebanese border.”

The move raised serious concerns among both the Israeli military and analysts, reminding them that Russia had already violated its international obligations regarding Ukraine. and numerous anti-Semitic antics of the Kremlin, and its assistance to the Iranian regime (and so on and so forth), and Moscow’s own crimes against Ukrainians.

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“But the worst thing is that Russia formally becomes one of the guarantors of Israel’s security”

Introduction of Russia as a guarantor: Netanyahu's idea

The Israeli prime minister has put forward a plan that includes an agreement with Lebanon mediated by the United States and supported by Russia. According to reports Ynet And “Hadashot 12”the agreement must be concluded in several stages:

  1. USA and Israel negotiate a ceasefire that will end with the withdrawal of Israeli troops from southern Lebanon.
  2. Russia takes control of the implementation of the terms of the agreement, promising to prevent the supply of weapons to Hezbollah through Syria.

Netanyahu's plan involves the withdrawal of Israeli forces after a 60-day period, during which the Lebanese army will destroy Hezbollah's infrastructure in the border areas. Also according to Netanyahu’s plan, in exchange for “guarantees” to suppress arms smuggling to Lebanon through Syria Putin will get a way out of total international isolation and the lifting of sanctions on “Russian companies operating in Syria”.

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The idea of ​​involving Russia is aimed at “putting an end to Syrian-Lebanese arms smuggling and stabilizing the situation in the region.”

Here they are wrote Leonid Nevzlin, results of Ron Dermer's secret visit to Moscow. Apparently, with Trump's arrival in the White House Putin is preparing to once again become a handshake world leader and an important player in the Middle East.. Or at least create such an appearance.

The fact that the Israeli government is helping him in this is another shame for Netanyahu, who very quickly forgot the Kremlin’s numerous anti-Semitic antics, its assistance to the Iranian regime, and Moscow’s own crimes against the Ukrainians.

But the worst thing is that Russia formally becomes one of the guarantors of Israel’s security.

I would like to hope that the military leadership of our country will not allow this. But Bibi has already installed the tame Israel Katz as Minister of Defense and proved that between the security of Israel and his own political interests, he does not hesitate to choose the latter.”

The precedent of Ukraine: why is Russia an unreliable guarantor?

It is important to note that Russia has already shown its inconsistency as an international guarantor once – the case of the Budapest Memorandum, in which Russia, together with the United States and Great Britain, committed themselves to ensuring the security and territorial integrity of Ukraine. However, with the outbreak of war in 2014, Russia not only refused to fulfill its obligations, but also began active military operations against Ukraine.

“There is one state in the world whose security Russia should have guaranteed—this is Ukraine,” commented Israeli military sources.

This historical precedent raises natural concerns among Israeli analysts. Is Russia ready to really support Israel’s security, or could this just be a step to get Moscow out of international isolation?

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Position of the Israeli military: Russia is not an ally of Israel

Israeli military structures express serious dissatisfaction with Netanyahu's plan, recalling that Israel already has a strategic ally – the United States, which provides support and security guarantees. In turn, Russia's inclusion could undermine confidence in Israel's commitments to its allies.

What can Russia offer?

According to Israeli media, one of Russia's main trump cards in this agreement is the ability to control Syrian arms supply routes. This means that Russia can use its influence in Syria to stop the supply of weapons to Hezbollah, but the question remains: are the Russian authorities ready to actually fulfill these obligations?

Hezbollah and Lebanon's position

On the other hand, a Hezbollah spokesman said that their forces are ready to withdraw north from the Litani River and stop rearmament. However, they are categorically against conditions that allow Israel to maintain a military presence in Lebanese airspace.

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Thus, Netanyahu's plans could create a precarious balance of interests, where each side adheres to conditions, but escalation can occur at any moment.

PositionSideComments
IsraelPrime Minister Benjamin NetanyahuSeeks Russian support to ensure peace
Israeli militaryIsraeli analystsThey consider Russia an unreliable guarantor
LebanonHezbollahReady to compromise, but require control over conditions

Conclusion: is peace possible with Russia's help?

The situation on the Lebanese border remains extremely unstable, and the inclusion of Russia as a guarantor raises many questions. As the experience of Ukraine shows, Moscow rarely adheres to international obligations and prefers its own security interests. In this situation, Israel risks its strategic interests, and not all military personnel are ready to support Netanyahu’s idea.

NAnews will continue to monitor developments and analyze how effective Russia's role can be in maintaining Israel's security.

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Russia and its support for Israel's enemies

Relying on Russia as a guarantor of security raises natural doubts. Moscow has been building relations with Israel’s main opponents for many years. Russia is a strategic partner of Iran, with which Israel has a tough confrontation. The Russian leadership supports arms supplies to Lebanon and supports the Syrian regime and Hezbollah. Russian influence also extends into Yemen, where they support the Houthis fighting Israel's allies.

An alliance with Russia inevitably causes disagreements between Israel and its allies in the West, especially the United States, which is Israel's strategic partner and Russia's main adversary on the international stage.

Impact on relations with the US: Can Israel take the risk?

The alliance with Russia also threatens to complicate Israeli-American relations. The United States is Israel's main strategic ally, providing it with billions of dollars in military-technical and financial assistance. It is expected that Washington will not welcome Israel's cooperation with Russia, especially in the context of worsening US-Russian relations. The attitude towards Putin in democratic countries is extremely negative – he is not welcomed at official events, he received an arrest warrant from the Hague International Criminal Court for war crimes on the territory of Ukraine.

Anti-Semitism of the Russian leadership and persecution of Jews

The Russian leadership has also engaged in openly anti-Semitic rhetoric, which has been repeatedly noted in international reports and condemned by Jewish communities around the world. Statements by senior Russian officials demonstrating anti-Semitic views pose clear risks for Israel, which views anti-Semitism as a serious threat to national security and public life.

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новости Израиля 11 ноября 2024 НАновости План Нетаньяху привлечь Россию как "гаранта безопасности Израиля": союз с диктатором или что это?

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